Professor Dimitris Korobilis

Professor of Econometrics (Economics)

telephone: +44 (0) 141 330 5555 (ext. 0635)
email: Dimitris.Korobilis@gla.systa-s.com

Adam Smith Business School, Room 405A, Gilbert Scott Building (West Quadrangle), G12 8QQ, Glasgow

Biography

Dimitris Korobilis (PhD Strathclyde, 2010) is Professor of Econometrics at the Adam Smith Business School. Before joining Glasgow he was Professor of Finance at Essex Business School, University of Essex.

He works in the area of applied statistical inference using economic and financial data. Recent research involves the development of machine learning algorithms for high-dimensional inference in macroeconomic models with large datasets; research that has been published in Journal of Econometrics and Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, among other journals. His models have been used extensively by policy-making institutions to monitor financial conditions (International Monetary Fund) and to forecast inflation (European Central Bank). He has been a consultant for major international institutions and government, and he delivers regularly specialized training in central banks on topics related to statistical inference that supports policy decision-making.

Dimitris is the director of the MSc in Data Analytics for Economics and Finance. He is also teaching at, and co-ordinating the annual ASBS Summer School in Empirical Macroeconomics. He is the alternate lead of the macroeconomics research cluster of the Adam Smith Business School. Finally, he is the organiser of the Econometrics Seminar Series.

Personal website

Research interests

Dimitris is the alternate lead of the School's Macroeconomics research cluster.

Areas of expertise:

Macroeconometrics; Time-series Analysis; Forecasting
Bayesian statistics; Machine Learning; High-dimensional Models; Text Analytics
News and Business Cycles; Monetary policy; Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Publications

List by: Type | Date

Jump to: 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2008

Number of items: 38.

2025

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008, Mamatzakis, Emmanuel C. and Pappas, Vasileios (2025) Bayesian nonparametric inference in bank business models with transient and persistent cost inefficiency. Journal of Econometrics, (doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106109) (Early Online Publication)

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Schröder, Maximilian (2025) Probabilistic quantile factor analysis. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 43(3), pp. 530-543. (doi: 10.1080/07350015.2024.2396956)

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Schröder, Maximilian (2025) Monitoring multi-country macroeconomic risk: a quantile factor-augmented vector autoregressive (QFAVAR) approach. Journal of Econometrics, 249(Part C), 105730. (doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105730)

Puthiya Parambath, Shameem ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5338-9385, LI, WENHAO ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-5386-0841, Anagnostopoulos, Christos ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1517-6757 and Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2025) CluE: Cluster, Sample & Eliminate - Bayesian Block Elimination for Pure Exploration with Non-binary Rewards and Limited Budget. In: IEEE ICDCS 2025 45th IEEE International Conference on Distributed Computing Systems, Glasgow, Scotland UK, 20-23 July 2025, (Accepted for Publication)

2024

Koop, Gary, Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Ravazzolo, Francesco (2024) Editorial introduction of the special issue of the Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics in honor of Herman van Dijk. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 28(2), pp. 151-153. (doi: 10.1515/snde-2024-0024)

2023

Koop, Gary and Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2023) Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions. International Economic Review, 64(3), pp. 1047-1074. (doi: 10.1111/iere.12623)

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Montoya-Blandón, Santiago ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2229-2254 (2023) Discussion of “multivariate dynamic modeling for Bayesian forecasting of business revenue”. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 39(3), pp. 315-317. (doi: 10.1002/asmb.2753)

2022

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2022) A new algorithm for structural restrictions in Bayesian vector autoregressions. European Economic Review, 148, 104241. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104241)

Baumeister, Christiane, Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Lee, Thomas (2022) Energy markets and global economic conditions. Review of Economics and Statistics, 104(4), pp. 828-844. (doi: 10.1162/rest_a_00977)

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Shimizu, Kenichi (2022) Bayesian approaches to shrinkage and sparse estimation. Foundations and Trends in Econometrics, 11(4), pp. 230-354. (doi: 10.1561/0800000041)

Gambetti, Luca, Görtz, Christoph, Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008, Tsoukalas, John D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3356-9688 and Zanetti, Francesco (2022) The effect of news shocks and monetary policy. In: Dolado, Juan J., Gambetti, Luca and Matthes, Christian (eds.) Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova (Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 44A). Emerald, pp. 139-164. ISBN 9781803826363 (doi: 10.1108/S0731-90532022000044A005)

2021

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2021) High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 39(2), pp. 493-504. (doi: 10.1080/07350015.2019.1677472)

2020

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Pettenuzzo, Davide (2020) Machine Learning Econometrics: Bayesian algorithms and methods. In: Hamilton, Jonathan H., Dixit, Avinash, Edwards, Sebastian and Judd, Kenneth (eds.) Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance. Series: Oxford Research Encyclopedias. Oxford University Press. ISBN 9780190625979 (doi: 10.1093/acrefore/9780190625979.013.588)

Beckkmann, Joscha, Koop, Gary, Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Schuessler, Rainer Alexander (2020) Exchange rate predictability and dynamic Bayesian learning. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 35(4), pp. 410-421. (doi: 10.1002/jae.2761)

2019

Koop, Gary and Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2019) Forecasting with high-dimensional panel VARs. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 81(5), pp. 937-959. (doi: 10.1111/obes.12303)

Byrne, Joseph P., Cao, Shuo and Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2019) Decomposing global yield curve co-movement. Journal of Banking and Finance, 106, pp. 500-513. (doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2019.07.018)

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Pettenuzzo, Davide (2019) Adaptive hierarchical priors for high-dimensional vector autoregressions. Journal of Econometrics, 212(1), pp. 241-271. (doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2019.04.029)

Koop, Gary, Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Pettenuzzo, Davide (2019) Bayesian compressed vector autoregressions. Journal of Econometrics, 210(1), pp. 135-154. (doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2018.11.009)

2018

Byrne, Joseph P., Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Ribeiro, Pinho J. (2018) On the sources of uncertainty in exchange rate predictability. International Economic Review, 59(1), pp. 329-357. (doi: 10.1111/iere.12271)

2017

Byrne, Joseph P., Cao, Shuo and Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2017) Forecasting the term structure of government bond yields in unstable environments. Journal of Empirical Finance, 44, pp. 209-225. (doi: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2017.09.004)

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2017) Quantile regression forecasts of inflation under model uncertainty. International Journal of Forecasting, 33(1), pp. 11-20. (doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2016.07.005)

2016

Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2016) Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 101, pp. 110-120. (doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2016.02.011)

Byrne, Joseph, Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Ribeiro, Pinho J. (2016) Exchange rate predictability in a changing world. Journal of International Money and Finance, 62, pp. 1-24. (doi: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.12.001)

Koop, Gary and Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2016) Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models. European Economic Review, 81, pp. 115-131. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.09.006)

2015

Bauwens, Luc, Koop, Gary, Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 and Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. (2015) The contribution of structural break models to forecasting macroeconomic series. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 30(4), pp. 596-620. (doi: 10.1002/jae.2387)

2014

Koop, Gary and Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2014) A new index of financial conditions. European Economic Review, 71, pp. 101-116. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.07.002)

Belmonte, Miguel A. G., Koop, Gary and Korobilis, Dimitris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2014) Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models. Journal of Forecasting, 33(1), pp. 80-94. (doi: 10.1002/for.2276)

2013

Korobilis, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2013) Assessing the transmission of monetary policy using time-varying parameter dynamic factor models. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 75(2), pp. 157-179. (doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2011.00687.x)

Korobilis, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2013) Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors. Economics Letters, 18(1), pp. 148-150. (doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.10.003)

Bauwens, L. and Korobilis, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2013) Bayesian methods. In: Hashimzade, N. and Thornton, M.A. (eds.) Handbook of Empirical Methods in Macroeconomics. Edward Elgar Publishing: Cheltenham, pp. 363-380. ISBN 9780857931016

Koop, G. and Korobilis, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-3008 (2013) Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs. Journal of Econometrics, 177(2), pp. 185-198. (doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.04.007)